Clinton Reheated

Everyone knew she was going to take Pennsylvania and everyone knew that she could only make a decent showing if she won by at least 10 percent.  As of this morning Hillary had Barack beat by 9.56 percent.  Let's just round that up.

Clinton beat Obama by appealing to the white working class men and women who usually vote against their best economic interests because some politician has come to town and told them a lesbian couple is moving in next door to threaten their marriage.  That didn't happen this time.

These working class men and women are no different than the folks in upstate New York who Senator Clinton courted in her first campaign for the Senate and whom she has not let down over her time as a Senator.  Clinton has developed excellent relationships with rural New Yorkers, visits there often, brings them a significant amount of pork, and spends time with local and state officials trying to develop economic incentives that would bring jobs (not more prisons) to towns hit hard by job losses.  She is quite comfortable having a shot and a beer with the boys in Essex County who work as prison guards while talking about guns and war.  And she is equally comfortable in New Square and Harlem and Washington Heights and  on the Upper East Side side talking about what matters in those places.

Clinton appeals to a large demographic in New York and hoped to bring them along with her in this campaign.  She did not anticipate Barack Obama and the fact that he would pull away her African American support while developing a demographic -- young people -- that she hasn't cultivated in New York because she didn't need them to win.   I won't go into the other things that have hurt her in this campaign.  Somebody will write the definitive book on that in no time.

But these working class voters were lost to the Democratic Party a long time ago and Clinton recaptured in New York and for a point in time in Pennsylvania.  She will work that same crowd in Indiana and  win them based on issues that affect them day in and day out.  She deserves credit for that.  The Democratic Party needs these folks back.  If they view Barack Obama as an elitist who cannot understand their issues (although I think he surely does) they will do it again -- vote Republican and against their best interests.  

Obama and his supporters note that he was a community organizer in Chicago.  There he honed his abililty to see all sides of an issue, build bridges and get things done for the people.  Lost is the fact that Hillary Clinton organized communities in upstate New York, built bridges between competing interests and gets things done for a group of people who were highly suspicious of her in the beginning of her "Listening Tour."  Any competent Congressperson or Senator is a good community organizer and has local offices staffed with people who can respond to constituent needs promply, respectfully, and smartly.   Clinton does.

In rural New Mexico the state GOP is running an ad condemning Obama's remarks that rural Pennsylvanian's are "bitter."  The ad can be heard on my blog.  That ad is a precursor to defining Obama as an outsider and an elitist.

Obama has significantly enlarged the base of the Democratic Party with hundreds of thousands of new registered voters.  But he needs to feel comfortable enough in his skin rather than his head and reach out to white working class men and women in a genuine manner that takes them where they are at.  If Obama loses this group they are McCain's for the picking.  Superdelegates know that.



Display:


The gap is 8.6% (2.00 / 2)

Clinton 54.3%

Obama 45.7%

That's an 8.6% difference, not 10.

9,179 out of 9,263 Districts (99.09%) Reporting Statewide

http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/


by Bee on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:00:59 AM EST

Obama has triple digit delegate lead. (none / 0)

It's all over but the crying.


by dystopianfuturetoday on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 10:07:02 AM EST
[ Parent ]

what, are you that upset (none / 0)

that you have to smash or reinterpret anyone's joy and opinion?  

This is the part of graceful losing and graceful winning that you obama people, and I daresay your candidate, don't understand.  Now you look and sound like a sore loser.  Go ahead and jeer, laugh, say she can't do it, squeal about the percentages, that's more time away from defending and promoting your candidate.

And you're going to need us if yoru candidate becomes the nominee.  So you'd better start being a little more gracious and less insulting.


by 4justice on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 10:12:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]

she ate in to his demographics (2.00 / 1)

she at in to his numbers in upper middle class voters, white voters, young voters...

Everyone knows she won by 10 percent.  Trying to use websites that are not updated to say otherwise seems desperate.


For Obama it now becomes: Faith, hope and CHANGE! And the greatest of these is Change!
by TeresaInPa on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:21:56 AM EST

The Secretary of State's website (2.00 / 1)

has been updated twice in the last half hour.

It now stands at:

9,183 out of 9,264 Districts (99.13%) Reporting Statewide

Clinton 54.3%

Obama 45.7%

That's an 8.6% difference, Teresa.

http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/


by Bee on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:25:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Still, she has a significant lead in popular votes (2.00 / 1)

now, NATIONALLY.


Universal healthcare IS a Democratic value
It's been defeated
Obama has the best $PIN that money can buy.
by architek on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:28:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Gallup yesterday (none / 0)

Obama 50%

Clinton 40%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106738/Gallup -Daily-Obama-Maintains-National-Lead.asp x


by Bee on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:31:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

and your point is? (none / 0)

polls don't say anything about numbers.

A pop vote lead of 600,000?  She easily catches up in Indiana, KY, WV, PR and yes, North Carolina. INclude Florida and split the MI vote evenly, and it goes to the supers, which it is going to anyway.  

Move on. Clinton won this.  Work for your candidate and see if he really can recover.


by 4justice on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 10:16:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

popular votes (none / 0)

Popular Vote Total: Obama +501,138 +1.7%
Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA*: Obama +611,360 +2.1%
Popular Vote (w/FL): Obama +206,366 +0.7%
Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA*: Obama +316,588 +1.0%

Seeing as how Obama was not allowed to campaign in Florida, it looks to me like Obama leads the popular vote by about 600,000 votes. Good luck catching up.


Visit Election Inspection for analysis, polls, and predictions!
by X Stryker on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:55:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton Reheated (none / 0)

Too bad none of you can speak to the issue I raised which was about classism.


by Kate Stone on Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 04:11:00 PM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.